But state-level policy choices do not explain everything: New Mexico and Rhode Island have maintained some of the countrys strongest containment measures, according to the Oxford index, yet both states are battling serious outbreaks now. The politicization of COVID-19 epidemiology [9,12] has further complicated policy-making, messaging, and uptake. After the pandemic, a survey of gains and losses. Across the country, indoor mask requirements in blue states are falling like dominoes as COVID cases drop. Cases dropped in late July, but since then Texas has eased efforts to contain the virus, and cases are rising again. Conceptualization, The proportions of states and D.C. with high COVID-19 rates were greatest for those with no mask wearing policy for the general public in the preceding month (Fig 2). The worst outbreaks in the country now are in places where policymakers did the least to prevent transmission, according to the Oxford index. In contrast, 25% or fewer states with a mask wearing policy had high COVID-19 rates, except in September when over half experienced high rates. For all 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC), these data were abstracted by month for April September 2020 to measure their impact on COVID-19 rates in the subsequent month (May October 2020). The United States, as of Friday, posted a seven-day moving average of 62,555 new COVID-19 cases reported daily, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.The last time . Cases were higher in the non-mandate states last summer, when the seasonal surge in the South disproportionately hit Republican states without mandates, but those states went on to have fewer cases during the winter, when the seasonal surge in the North hit more Democratic states with mandates. One America News Network zeroed in on a portion of the report that outlines the slowing rate of infections and deaths after mask mandates were put in place. In the United States, policies on mask wearing have varied from state to state over the course of the pandemic. Our website is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Researchers aggregate those indicators and assign a number from 0 to 100 to each governments total response. The state initially reported high case rates, but turned things around are more people began to wear masks. Fact check: Masks and vaccines are effective at combating COVID-19 spread. While it controlled for other policies that have been used to try to mitigate new infections from the coronavirus including bar closures, stay-at-home orders and bans on gatherings of 10 or more people it did not account for some others, such as physical distancing recommendations and other types of business closures. | The mandate will still require masks where . Eleven states never mandated masks, while the other 39 states enforced mandates. No, PLOS is a nonprofit 501(c)(3) corporation, #C2354500, based in San Francisco, California, US, Corrections, Expressions of Concern, and Retractions, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0249891, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#new-hospital-admissions, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/masking-science-sars-cov2.html, https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/these-are-the-states-with-mask-mandates, https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/masking-lack-of-evidence-with-politics/, https://cepr.org/sites/default/files/CovidEconomics43.pdf, https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=mask-use&tab=trend, https://doi.org/10.18148/srm/2020.v14i2.7761, https://data.cdc.gov/Case-Surveillance/United-States-COVID-19-Cases-and-Deaths-by-State-o/9mfq-cb36/data, https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/county-level-data-sets/download-data/, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/community/schools-childcare/indicators.html#thresholds, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/need-extra-precautions/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fcoronavirus%2F2019-ncov%2Fneed-extra-precautions%2Fpeople-at-increased-risk.html. And the more swiftly they can act, the shorter any lockdown-style policies need to be. We used state-level data on mask wearing policy for the general public and on proportion of residents who stated they always wear masks in public. Its been largely delegated to a subnational level, to the states, for example, and municipalities to figure it out themselves.. Investigation, Variants of COVID-19 Are Spreading Across the U.S. How to Plan a COVID-Safe Summer Vacation in 2022. States with a 75% minimum mask adherence reported about 109.26 COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents compared to the average of 249.99 per 100,000 residents in states with low mask adherence. Note: Cases and hospitalizations are data from Nov. 16. Outbreaks are comparatively smaller in states where efforts to contain the virus were stronger over the summer and fall potential good news for leaders taking action now. Mask wearing has been advocated by public health officials as a way to reduce the spread of COVID-19. Some countries that implemented fast, early restrictions and robust test-and-trace programs have seen the most success. Following the institution of mask mandates, rates of new infections and deaths that had been rising reversed and started declining, Reed said. Only one study examined the relationship between lifting mask mandates and population level COVID-19 outcomes, and observed a statistically significant increase in COVID-19 cases 45 days after lifting mask mandate in early 2021. Higher mask use did not predict lower maximum growth rates, smaller surges, or . The resurgence was blamed on people disobeying the mandates, never mind the surveys showing widespread compliance. Brooks JT & Butler JC. Mean COVID-19 rates for states with 75% mask adherence in the preceding month was 109.26 per 100,000 compared to 249.99 per 100,000 for those with less adherence. Using an index that tracks policy responses to the pandemic, these charts show the number of new virus cases and hospitalizations in each state relative to the states recent containment measures. Masks make no difference in reducing the spread of Covid, according to an extensive new review by Cochranethe gold standard for evaluating health interventions. Funding: The authors received no specific funding for this work. "Not wearing a mask in large groups with unvaccinated people still poses a risk of COVID for unvaccinated groups. Immediately after these mandates were instituted, these declines were statistically significant.. The 2-week rate in July in Arizona = 43,088 cases/7,278,717 population in 2019 = 0.00592 or 592 per 100,000. So did New Mexico, whose surge began shortly after Scientific American praised the states strict mask policies in an article headlined, How New Mexico Controlled the Spread of Covid-19.. This pattern of magical thinking persisted throughout the pandemic, as Miller demonstrates in dozens of graphs contrasting conventional wisdom with cruel reality. One America News Network on March 7 published an article under the headline CDC: Face masks dont prevent COVID-19, study finds masks have negligible impact on coronavirus numbers. The post claims the CDC has admitted face masks do little to prevent the spread of COVID-19 amid mounting pressure to lift mask mandates across the U.S., Butthe CDCs study doesnt say that. She holds a Masters in Psychology concentrating on Behavioral Neuroscience. Yes Conditions in bars and restaurants are more conducive to virus transmission, since customers spend more time there in closer proximity to each other, often while talking. Our study accounted for temporality by staggering COVID-19 outcome data after adherence measures. 2 minute read. A quarterly magazine of urban affairs, published by the Manhattan Institute, edited by Brian C. Anderson. Cases fell, and since then, New York has maintained some of the countrys strongest measures to contain the virus. Costs vs. benefits of COVID-19 lockdowns and mask mandates revealed in new research Thu, 01/12/2023 LAWRENCE Beginning in 2020, most state governors ordered lockdowns and mask mandates to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. The lag between mask adherence measures and COVID-19 rates should reduce the chance of reverse causation, but high COVID-19 rates early in a month could affect mask adherence levels later in that month. When the outbreak slammed the New York City area in March and April, leaders locked down. She finds that mask-wearing is still the best course of action for mixed-vaccination status gatherings. "Arizona surprised me because they went from having the second-lowest mask adherence in May and June [less than 22%] to the highest level in July and August [greater than 80%]. The current study . Instead, it analyzed the connection between mask mandate policies and the rate of new county-level coronavirus cases and deaths. I just dont know based on reading the OAN summary how they came to the same conclusions because the CDC conclusions were favorable.. Thank you, {{form.email}}, for signing up. But as Flam notes, "the benefits of universal masking have been difficult to quantify" in the real world, where cloth models predominate and masks may not be clean, well-fitted, or worn properly. Methodology, The three COVID-19 vaccines authorized by the FDA are also helping slow COVID-19 rates, allowing for the easing of restrictions. Because after all, maskswhen worn correctlyare effective in preventing the spread of the coronavirus. Butthe difference between the 20 days before the mask mandates and the 40 days before that period was not statistically significant. For the most recent updates on COVID-19, visit our coronavirus news page. Our fact check work is supported in part by a grant from Facebook. The Power of Bad: How the Negativity Effect Rules Us and How We Can Rule It. Methodology, Copyright Illinois will lift its face mask requirement on Feb.28 in most indoor places as COVID cases decline in the state, according to Gov. We all want to be able to be with friends and family this spring and summer, and we all dont want to have [to] go back to the more stringent mitigation measures, so gathering outside and wearing masks is the best way to allow both to happen.. Theyre not looking at masks in and of themselves," Josh Petrie, research professor in the University of Michigan's School of Public Health, told USA TODAY. We calculated the average mask use percentage by month for AprilSeptember, 2020. We utilized the COVID-19 US State Policy Database, created by Dr. Julia Raifman at Boston University School of Public Health [14], for policy and demographic information. Wearing a mask may still give some people a sense of security, but they could breathe more easily if theyd face the facts. 3.1.2023 11:20 AM, Elizabeth Nolan Brown The wave of new restrictions in the United States follows national and regional lockdowns in Europe, where outbreaks surged past their spring peaks but cases per capita remained lower than many Upper Midwest states. When the initial spring wave in 2020 subsided, public officials and journalists claimed that the mandates had worked, and they kept up the pretense even when Covid surged again later that year despite the continuing mandates. e0249891. here. Visualization, When Can I Visit a Friend's House After I'm Fully Vaccinated? One state is the lone holdout. Verywell Health's content is for informational and educational purposes only. Privacy Policy | | Even at small gatherings with unvaccinated people from different bubbles, like graduation parties with relatives from afar and families from the neighborhood, all attendees should wear masks," she says. When Can I Go to the Movie Theater Again After Being Fully Vaccinated? But "few studies assessed compliance to mask wearing policies or controlled for the possible influence of other preventive measures such as hand hygiene and physical distancing.". Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America, Roles Writing review & editing, Roles The. Data curation, Our observation that states with mask adherence by 75% of the population was associated with lower COVID-19 rates in the subsequent month suggests that states should strive to meet this threshold. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0249891.g001. By clicking Accept All Cookies, you agree to the storing of cookies on your device to enhance site navigation, analyze site usage, and assist in our marketing efforts. The information in this article is current as of the date listed, which means newer information may be available when you read this. If youre still not convinced to take off the mask, consider one more graph from Miller. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, March 5, ", U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nov. 27, 2020, ", Health Affairs, June 16 2020, "Community Use Of Face Masks And COVID-19: Evidence From A Natural Experiment Of State Mandates In The US", Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America, Dec. 3, 2020, ", U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Feb. 12, ", CDC: Face masks dont prevent COVID-19, study finds masks have negligible impact on coronavirus numbers., Association of State-Issued Mask Mandates and Allowing On-Premises Restaurant Dining with County-Level COVID-19 Case and Death Growth Rates United States, March 1December 31, 2020, Trends in County-Level COVID-19 Incidence in Counties With and Without a Mask Mandate Kansas, June 1August 23, 2020, Governor Laura Kelly Announces Masks Must be Worn Statewide, Differences in rapid increases in county-level COVID-19 incidence by implementation of statewide closures and mask mandates United States, June 1September 30, 2020, Germany to oblige mandatory face masks from Monday, Face masks considerably reduce COVID-19 cases in Germany, Decline in COVID-19 Hospitalization Growth Rates Associated with Statewide Mask Mandates 10 States, MarchOctober 2020, subscribe to our print edition, ad-free app or electronic newspaper replica here, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. 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